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"Then we got from 2020 through today with a tremendous amount of stimulus. "What you saw in 2020 was a tremendous amount of restructuring activity getting pulled forward," said Spencer Ware, managing director and retail practice leader at Riveron, an advisory firm.
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Instead, bankruptcies could be more spread out, they said. Still, advisors who have worked on retail bankruptcies in recent years believe, for the most part, that any looming distress in the industry shouldn't be as intense as the massive shakeout in 2020.
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"I wouldn't be surprised to see an uptick in retail bankruptcies." "We have potentially a perfect storm brewing," said Sally Henry, a professor of law at Texas Tech Law School and former partner at Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP. It's not exactly clear when that tally could begin to grow, but restructuring experts say they're preparing for more trouble across the industry as the all-important holiday season approaches.Īn analysis by Fitch Ratings shows that the consumer and retail companies most in danger of default include mattress maker Serta Simmons, cosmetics line Anastasia Beverly Hills, skin-care marketing company Rodan & Fields, Billabong owner Boardriders, men's suit chain Men's Wearhouse and supplements marketing company Isagenix International.